The One I am All In On: Jorge David Castaneda defeating Rocky Hernandez

Jorge David Castaneda has defeated two prospects in consecutive fights by getting a close decision win over Matchroom’s Otha Jones III, as well as Youssef Khoumari at the 02 Arena in London, England. Castaneda is a high-volume road warrior, who is working his way into title contention.

Hernandez was once signed by Golden Boy Promotions, I am not sure if he still is, but a first-round KO to now WBA 130 lbs champion Roger Gutierrez derail his rise to stardom, and now fighting on a Matchroom Boxing card on Friday raises some suspicion to his long-term success. Hernandez is limited, and though he has been active, he has fought dramatically worse competition.

Despite the fight being in Mexico, where Hernandez is from, I just see Castaneda as being able to do everything Hernandez does, and with Castaneda at +200 currently, this feels like a bet you couldn’t help, but throw a $20 bill you never want to see again.

The Prop Bet I Like: Daniel Dubois vs. Trevor Bryan Going Past 3 1/2 Rounds

Trevor Bryan on paper has a lot of advantages, fighting in his adopted home state of Florida, Don King his promoter, promoting the show, and yet Daniel Dubois is -1600 favorite, and this is even after coming off a bad eye injury against Joe Joyce. I wouldn’t be surprised if Trevor Bryan got a close decision as I think Dubois’ power is being overrated by limited competition, as he seems like an undersized heavyweight to me, and that Bryan should be able to go the 12-rounds, in my opinion.

That leads to the bet. Oddsmakers believe this fight will only go 3-and-a-half rounds, which to me seems like a good bet to make, as Dubois has a lot of power, but Bryan should get every benefit of the doubt. I am all-in on the over in this fight.

Berlanga Bet

With Angulo missing weight, we now have an x-factor, as Roamer Alexis Angulo is the first fighter I can remember that will have power who is facing Berlanga, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he clipped Berlanga. That being said, Berlanga is at -260, the lowest of his career, so if you’re a big Berlanga fan, the odds of getting him at this number in the near future are very low.

So with Berlanga’s stock being so low to the public this a chance to place a bet on Berlanga win with a good number.

Lukie’s record: (0-0)